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Bull Flag Pattern: How to Identify and Analyse It

A bull flag is one of the most recognisable bullish continuation patterns in technical analysis.  

It forms after a strong upward move (the flagpole) followed by a brief, orderly pullback (the flag) before price potentially breaks higher. Traders often study the bull flag chart pattern to identify moments when momentum may temporarily pause before resuming in the direction of the existing trend.  

The key idea is that the bull flag represents a pause, not a key reversal. Buyers push the price sharply higher, the market temporarily consolidates, and if momentum returns, the uptrend may continue.  

You’ll find the bull flag continuation pattern across many markets—including forex, commodities, and stocks—and it can appear on any timeframe. The structure is often analysed using a candlestick chart, hence it’s also referred to as the bull flag candlestick pattern.  

What Is a Bull Flag Pattern?  

A bull flag is a bullish continuation pattern that forms when a strong upward price movement briefly pauses before potentially continuing higher.  

Here is the bull flag pattern explained:  

  • Flagpole: A steep, impulsive rally driven by strong buying pressure. 
  • Consolidation: Otherwise known as the ‘flag’, it’s typically portrayed as a short pullback or sideways channel that slopes slightly downward, and should not be lower than 50% of the prior uptrend
  • Breakout: The price moves above the consolidation zone, indicating the bull flag breakout pattern.  
  • Target Projection: This is the height of the flagpole added to the breakout point to estimate where the move may potentially extend.  

The bull flag continuation pattern shows that although price temporarily consolidates, buyers remain in control. A breakout above the flag’s upper boundary is commonly discussed in technical analysis as a potential continuation structure, although outcomes can vary in practice.  

Related Article: A Complete Guide to Supply and Demand: How to Use It  

Bull Flag vs. Bear Flag: What’s the Difference?  

While a bull flag signals potential continuation to the upside, its inverse—i.e., the bear flag—suggests possible continuation to the downside.  

Feature Bull Flag Bear Flag 
Direction of Prior Move Strong upward rally Strong downward drop 
Consolidation Angle Slightly downward or sideways Slightly upward or sideways 
Breakout Direction Upward Downward 
Market Implication Possible trend continuation higher Possible trend continuation lower 

The comparison highlights that both patterns share the same structural logic—a sharp move, a controlled pause, and a breakout—but in opposite directions.  

Anatomy of the Bull Flag Chart Pattern 

A bull flag candle pattern is more than a visual formation.  

It reflects a moment where strong bullish momentum pauses, resets, and potentially resumes. Understanding why the structure forms is just as important as recognising how it looks on a bull flag pattern chart.  

This pattern typically develops after buyers drive the price sharply higher. Instead of reversing, the market pauses in a tight consolidation, showing that selling pressure is limited and that buyers may still be in control.  

When price eventually breaks out of this consolidation, the bull flag breakout pattern signals a potential continuation of the existing trend.  

5 Key Characteristics of the Bull Flag Pattern  

Here are some of the key structural traits traders look for when identifying a bull flag, along with the psychology behind them:  

1. A Strong Flagpole  

What It Is: A steep, fast rally that creates the foundation of the pattern.  

Psychology: Buyers are in control, sentiment is strong, and momentum builds quickly as traders fear missing out on the move.  

2. A Controlled Pullback (the Flag)  

What It Is: Price drifts slightly downwards in a tight range. 

Psychology: Early buyers take profits, but selling pressure is limited. The market pauses without showing signs of reversal.  

3. Parallel or Converging Trendlines   

What It Is: Depending on the variation, the consolidation becomes either a rectangular flag (parallel channel) or a triangular (pennant) flag—more on that in later sections. 

Psychology: The market is balancing, whereby lower volatility and shrinking ranges show that both sides are waiting for new information and the crowd is undecided in the short term.  

4. Volume Declines During the Flag   

What It Is: Trading activity tends to soften as the flag develops.  

Psychology: Momentum cools, but accumulation often quietly continues. A decline in volume shows that the pullback is not driven by strong selling.  

5. Breakout Supported by Rising Volume  

What It Is: Price pushes above the flag’s resistance line, ideally with a volume increase. 

Psychology: Fresh buyers re-enter, early shorts exit, and the previous trend regains control.  

Related Article: The Basics of Support & Resistance  

Bull Flag Pattern Examples: 3 Variations Traders Need to Know  

In technical education, instructors often highlight that bull flag patterns can appear in different variations.   

The underlying psychology remains the same, but the shape of the consolidation can differ based on volatility and market conditions.  

Here are the three most common variations:  

1. Rectangular Bull Flag  

Structure: A small, downward-sloping channel with parallel upper and lower boundaries.  

Psychology: The market is digesting the prior rally in an orderly fashion. Sellers are present but not dominant, creating a mild, controlled retracement.  

2. Triangular Bull Flag (Bullish Pennant)  

Structure: Converging trendlines forming a small symmetrical triangle, otherwise known as a pennant.  

Psychology: Volatility compresses as traders await a catalyst. This often precedes sharp bull flag breakout patterns because energy builds within a narrowing price range.  

3. High and Tight Bull Flag  

Structure: A steeper and more aggressive variant where the flagpole is unusually vertical due to a dramatic price surge (around 50% to 100%) and the flag is extremely shallow, with a brief retracement of typically 10–20%.  

Psychology: Demand is so strong that sellers barely manage a pullback. The high and tight flag can appear in fast-moving markets like stocks but may be riskier due to the speed of the advance.  

[H3] Using a Screener to Find Bull Flags Efficiently  

Manually scanning charts can be time-consuming.  

A practical approach is to use a market scanner or screener that filters instruments based on trend strength, volatility compression, or breakout conditions.  

On Vantage ProTrader, users can explore built-in screeners to learn how patterns like bull flags may be visually represented on charts. These tools can help users:  

  • Observe conditions where bull flag-like structures may appear,  
  • View how trend direction filters organise chart data,  
  • See how price consolidation areas are displayed, and  
  • Understand how potential breakout conditions are illustrated within the interface  

This helps demonstrate how such patterns may be presented across forex, commodities, and global stocks.  

Related Article: 6 Forex Trading Strategies for Beginners  

Valuable Insights on the Bull Flag  

Besides interpreting the structural and psychological traits of the different bull flag chart patterns, here are some key insights for traders to make more informed decisions in the markets:  

Timeframe  

Bull flags can appear on any timeframe, from one-minute charts to weekly charts, but their reliability often improves as the timeframe increases. On lower timeframes, price movements tend to be noisier, and sharp intraday volatility can distort the structure.  

Bull flag pattern timeframes typically include:  

  • Intraday Charts: Anywhere from 15 minutes to several hours  
  • Daily Charts: 3 days to 3 weeks, depending on volatility  
  • Weekly Charts: Multiple weeks or even months, especially in strong trending markets  

What matters is not the absolute duration, but that the flag forms as a controlled pause in the trend. A flag that drags on too long may lose its continuation potential, while one that is too short may signal a shallow pullback rather than a meaningful consolidation. 

The key is that the market shows temporary equilibrium—a brief period where buyers pause, sellers test the downside, and neither side overwhelms the other. When buyers reassert control, the pattern usually breaks out.  

Interpreting the Slope  

The slope of the consolidation tells an important story about market psychology:  

1. Slight Downward Slope (Most Common)  

A gentle downward channel is the classic bull flag candle pattern. 

This slope reflects:  

  • Profit-taking from early buyers  
  • A controlled, orderly pullback  
  • Sellers testing momentum but failing to reverse the trend  

Many traders perceive the slight downward slope as the most structurally healthy variation of the bull flag chart pattern.  

2. Sideways Slope (Neutral Flag)  

Some bull flags also consolidate horizontally, forming a tight band.  

This reflects:  

  • Balanced buying and selling  
  • Strong underlying trend momentum  
  • A market waiting for new information before committing  

Sideways flags often precede sharp breakouts because energy is compressed within the range.  

How Accurate Are Bull Flags?  

The bull flag chart pattern can be a useful continuation structure. But like all technical patterns, its reliability depends on market context, trend strength, liquidity, and how well the formation develops.  

As such, traders should view the bull flag pattern as an analytical tool best used with other complementary technical indicators and proper risk management.  

4 Advantages of the Bull Flag Chart Pattern  

When assessed correctly and used alongside broader market analysis, the bull flag pattern can offer several practical benefits. These advantages help traders understand why the structure is widely recognised in technical analysis, especially during strong trending conditions.  

1. Clear Trend Continuation Structure  

Bull flags can appear after a strong, impulsive advance. This structure is frequently referenced in educational materials for illustrating trend continuation concepts.   

This candlestick pattern can thus help visualise where buyers may be regrouping after an initial push.  

2. Defined Entry and Risk Areas  

The chart pattern naturally creates a breakout level (the top of the flag) and a logical risk zone (just below the flag’s lower boundary). This can help clarify how technical analysts map hypothetical risk and reward zones in a theoretical learning context.  

3. Works Across Markets 

The bull flag pattern in stocks, commodities, forex, and indices follows the same structural logic: Strong move → pause → breakout. 

This continuation pattern is referenced across different asset classes in technical literature because the visual formation can appear in various markets.  

4. Volume Can Add Context  

While not an absolute requirement, increasing bull flag pattern volume during the breakout can help validate that buyers are stepping back in after consolidation.  

This can help add confidence in environments where liquidity is stable.  

4 Risks of the Bull Flag Chart Pattern  

Despite its strengths, the bull flag pattern is not foolproof. Market volatility, weak participation, or structural imperfections can reduce its reliability.  

Understanding these limitations helps readers interpret the bull flag pattern more realistically in an educational setting.  

1. False Breakouts  

The most common risk is a false breakout, where price moves above the flag briefly but lacks the follow-through to sustain the trend.  

This can happen during low-liquidity periods, news-driven volatility, or when momentum is fading.  

2. Pattern Misidentification  

Not every pullback after a rally is a certified bull flag. 

Overly deep retracements, wide or erratic consolidation, or sharp V-shaped reactions can create lookalikes that do not behave like true continuation patterns.  

3. Timeframe Distortion  

On lower timeframes, price action is more prone to noise. This can make the bull flag breakout pattern less reliable, as micro-volatility may distort structure or trigger premature entries.  

4. Market Conditions Matter  

Choppy or directionless environments often fail to support continuation. 

The pattern is less effective when:  

  • Liquidity is thin 
  • Volatility is unusually high 
  • Broader market sentiment contradicts the prior trend 

Even a well-formed bull flag can fail if the larger environment shifts suddenly.  

Look Out for These Warning Signs of Bull Flag Failures  

Certain behaviours within the price structure can signal that a bull flag pattern is weakening or at risk of failing. These warning signs can help traders differentiate between healthy consolidations and patterns that may not follow through.  

1. Deep or Extended Consolidation  

Flag retracements that dig too far into the flagpole (typically more than 50%)—or consolidation that lasts disproportionately long—often signal fading trend strength rather than a healthy pause characteristic of this chart pattern.  

2. Breakout With Weak Participation  

A breakout on noticeably weak volume (in liquid markets) or low volatility may reflect hesitation among buyers. This could increase the probability of a quick reversal or range re-entry.  

3. Failure to Hold Above Breakout Level  

If price breaks out but cannot stay above the flag’s upper boundary—especially after a retest—the chart pattern may lose validity.  

Repeated failed attempts to clear resistance often indicate a shift in control from buyers to sellers.  

4. Broader Trend Weakness  

If the bull flag forms late in an extended trend or during a period of weakening momentum, the continuation thesis becomes less reliable. 

Divergences in momentum indicators or slowing volatility regimes can be early clues.  

Using a Bull Flag Pattern: A Step-by-Step Guide  

Using the bull flag candlestick pattern effectively involves more than spotting the shape on a chart.  

Traders typically build a structured process around entry timing, target setting, exit planning, and confirming the setup with other technical tools. The goal is not to predict outcomes with certainty, but to approach the pattern in a consistent, risk-managed way.  

1. Prepare an Entry Checklist  

In educational settings, market analysts often review whether the structure meets commonly referenced bull flag characteristics:  

  • Strong Flagpole: A clear upward move with expanding volume.  
  • Orderly Consolidation: A tight downward-sloping or sideways channel with controlled pullbacks.  
  • Well-Defined Resistance: An upper boundary for the flag where the breakout level becomes obvious.  
  • Volume Context: Often lighter during consolidation and stronger on the breakout, signalling increased participation from buyers.  
  • Timeframe Alignment: Bull flags tend to show up more clearly on higher time frames, where noise is reduced.  

Once the structure meets key bull flag criteria, examples of potential entry approaches include:  

  • Illustrative Aggressive Entry: Hypothetical purchase if the price breaks the flag’s upper trendline.  
  • Illustrative Conservative Entry: Hypothetical waiting for a breakout above resistance and a possible retest.  

Take note that these examples are provided for educational purposes only and are not trading recommendations.  

2. Set Target Price  

In educational charting examples, some instructors demonstrate how target projections are calculated for illustration only. A common educational method to illustrate a bull flag pattern involves measuring the flagpole height and projecting it above the breakout point.  

This projected target zone is purely hypothetical and does not predict future price movements or serve as trading advice.  

Depending on the time frame and prevailing market conditions, traders may:  

  • Scale out of positions at partial levels  
  • Use multiple target tiers  
  • Extend targets in strong momentum environments  
  • Reduce targets during slower market phases  

Take note that targets are guides, not guarantees, and should be considered alongside broader market context.  

3. Plan an Exit Strategy  

Exit planning is essential, especially in fast breakouts. Educational examples of exit approaches often discussed in technical analysis include:  

  • Hypothetical Stop-Loss: Placing a stop below the consolidation low as an illustrative concept.  
  • Illustrative Trailing Stops: Showing how positions might be adjusted to manage risk.  
  • Theoretical Partial Profit-Taking: Demonstrating risk management techniques.  
  • Time-Based Exits: Used in theory to close positions within a session.  

A well-defined exit can help reduce emotional decisions, especially when the price accelerates quickly after the breakout.  

These risk-management concepts are regularly shown in educational examples to illustrate how technical analysis theoretically map exits. Bear in mind that these are not recommendations and may not be suitable for real market conditions.  

4. Pair With Other Technical Analysis Tools  

Combining the bull flag pattern with additional analytical tools can help filter setups:  

  • Moving Averages: To confirm the prevailing trend  
  • Momentum Indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD): To identify strength or divergence  
  • Volume Profile: To understand where participation is concentrated  
  • Support/Resistance Mapping: To check that the breakout is not heading directly into a strong ceiling   
  • Multiple Timeframe Analysis: To confirm that the flag aligns with broader trend behaviour  

Integrating the bull flag with other forms of analysis doesn’t guarantee outcomes, but it can offer a more complete view and reduce reliance on a single chart pattern.  

Mastering the Bull Flag Pattern  

Learning to read the bull flag goes beyond spotting shapes.  

It involves interpreting the psychology behind the pullback, assessing the quality of the trend, and using a checklist that includes structure, breakout level, timeframe, and broader market context.  

While no pattern is flawless, the bull flag can help traders identify continuation opportunities across markets—from forex to commodities, indices to stocks—especially during strong trending environments.  

When combined with risk management, realistic targets, and complementary tools such as support-resistance mapping or momentum indicators, the pattern becomes a useful part of a trader’s analytical framework.  

If you’d like to explore these concepts further, you can review charts using Vantage’s Live Account or practise identifying chart patterns with a Demo Account now.  

US Shares Leverage Adjustment on 15 December 2025

Due to the end of the earnings season, the market is less volatile, we will be making the following adjustments during the end of the earning season on 12 December 2025.

Symbols: US share CFDs

Adjustments: Remove dynamic leverage limit, and 33:1 leverage throughout the whole session.

Symbol: Others share CFDs

Adjustments: Remove dynamic leverage limit, and 20:1 leverage throughout the whole session.

Symbols: MT5 20 Pre-market US share CFDs

Adjustments: 5:1 leverage opened during pre-market session and 15 minutes before market closure (5:1 leverage during 14:00-16:30; 22:45-23:00)

TimeMT5 20 Premarket US sharesMT5
Other US Shares
MT4
US Shares
14:00-16:305:1Close marketClose market
16:30-22:4533:133:133:1
22:45-23:005:133:133:1

Should you have any questions or require further clarification, please do not hesitate to contact [email protected].

Indices Dividends For Period Of 15 to 23 December 2025

Here are the share CFD dividends that will be paid out from 15 December 2025:

Instruments15 Dec 202516 Dec 202517 Dec 202518 Dec 202519 Dec 202522 Dec 202523 Dec 2025
DJ30 (USD)9.8510.0000.0002.5610.0000.0000.000
SPI200 (AUD)0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
HK50 (HKD)0.6950.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Nikkei225 (JPN)0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
SP500 (USD)1.1670.2620.1340.0770.1580.4130.000
UK100 (GBP)0.0000.0000.0000.7850.0000.0000.000
NAS100 (USD)1.9940.0000.0000.0000.9732.7210.000
EU50 (EUR)0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
FRA40 (EUR)0.2190.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
ES35 (EUR)0.00016.6530.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
CHINA50(USD)16.1530.0000.0007.68325.8230.0000.000
US2000(USD)0.7230.0430.0600.1550.0640.1440.062
SA40(ZAR)0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
SGP20(SGD)0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
TWINDEX(USD)0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.103
HKTECH(HKD)0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
CHINAH(HKD)0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
IND50(USD)0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
SWI20(CHF)0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
NETH25(EUR)0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000

Mitrade Review 2025

Overview of Mitrade – Key Features 

CategoryKey Details
RegulationLicensed by ASIC (Australia), CySEC (Cyprus), CIMA (Cayman Islands), FSC (Mauritius)
Tradable Instruments800+ CFDs: Forex, indices, stocks, commodities, ETFs, cryptocurrencies
Trading PlatformsProprietary WebTrader, Mobile App (iOS & Android)
Account TypesDemo, Standard, Pro (availability varies by region)
Fees & CommissionsNo trading commission, variable spreads, swap/overnight fees
Minimum DepositLow entry requirement (varies by region)
Support ToolsNegative balance protection, risk management tools, basic indicators
Customer Support24/5 multilingual support

About Mitrade

Mitrade is an international multi-asset CFD broker founded in Melbourne, Australia. The company operates globally through multiple entities regulated by trusted authorities such as ASIC, CySEC, and others. Mitrade’s mission is to simplify trading by offering a clean, intuitive platform suitable for both beginners and intermediate traders.

The broker focuses on transparency, a low barrier to entry, and straightforward trading conditions. Its proprietary platform is designed to reduce complexity—making Mitrade especially appealing to new traders who want a simple environment without the steep learning curve of MT4 or MT5.

Mitrade Account Types

Mitrade provides three main account types:

1. Demo Account

Ideal for beginners who want to practise trading without risking real money. Includes virtual funds (about $50,000) and full access to platform features.

2. Standard Account

The main trading account for most users.

  • No commissions
  • Competitive spreads
  • Access to all tradable instruments
  • Suitable for day trading, swing trading, and beginners

3. Pro Account

(Not available in all regions)
Designed for more experienced traders, offering:

  • Higher leverage
  • Additional features
  • Priority support (in some jurisdictions)

Overall, account opening is easy and suitable for users with smaller initial capital.

Mitrade Commission and Fees

Mitrade is known for its transparent cost structure:

✔ No Trading Commission

All trading costs are built into the spread.

✔ Variable Spreads

Spreads change depending on market volatility but remain competitive for a non-ECN broker.

✔ No Deposit/Withdrawal Fees

Most regions allow free transfers, except for third-party bank or payment provider charges.

✔ Overnight/SWAP Fees

Charged for positions held overnight; varies by instrument.

✔ No Account Maintenance Fee

However, some regions may apply an inactivity fee if the account remains idle for an extended period.

Overall, Mitrade’s pricing structure is beginner-friendly, although spreads may be higher than those of pure ECN brokers.

Pros and Cons of Mitrade

Pros

  •  No trading commission; simple and transparent fee structure
  • User-friendly proprietary platform suitable for beginners
  • Low minimum deposit to start
  • Wide range of 800+ CFDs across major markets
  • Strong regulatory framework (ASIC, CySEC, FSC, CIMA)
  • Negative balance protection
  • Comprehensive educational materials and market updates

Cons

  • Does not support MT4, MT5, or cTrader
  • Spreads can be higher than ECN brokers
  • Limited advanced tools (no copy trading, no algorithmic support)
  • May not be suitable for professional or high-frequency traders
  • Limited asset types compared to multi-asset brokers like Saxo or Interactive Brokers

Alternatives to Mitrade 

If you like Mitrade’s simplicity but require lower costs, more advanced tools, or platform flexibility, consider these alternatives:

Why Vantage is a stronger alternative:

  • Raw ECN spreads from 0.0 pips
  • MT4, MT5, and TradingView support
  • Copy trading and social trading features
  • Faster execution for scalpers
  • Lower overall trading costs
  • More powerful tools for professional traders

Vantage is suitable for:

  • Traders who prefer MT4/MT5
  • Those who want the tightest spreads
  • High-frequency or algorithmic traders
  • Traders who want a more modern mobile app and advanced tools

Conclusion

Mitrade is a well-regulated and beginner-friendly broker offering a straightforward trading experience, competitive spreads, and an intuitive proprietary platform. It’s ideal for new traders who want simplicity without overwhelming technical tools.

However, traders seeking the lowest spreads, advanced platforms like MT4/MT5, or professional features may prefer a more sophisticated broker such as Vantage.

Overall, Mitrade is a solid option for entry-level and intermediate traders, while Vantage stands out as a more comprehensive alternative for serious or active traders.

Week Ahead: Big risk events everywhere

It’s a jam-packed week with no less than 12 central bank meetings across the globe, plus top tier data out of the US like non-farm payrolls, CPI and retail sales, PMIs and a UK data dump. Nothing like a quiet end to the year! There are three major central bank meetings that traders will focus on especially – the ECB, Bank of England and Bank of Japan. Markets expect a full house of rate decisions – which means on hold, a rate cut and a rate hike respectively. First up is the Bank of England, followed closely by the ECB on Thursday, with the Bank of Japan fully predicted to announce a rate hike on Friday.

After this week, we actually won’t hear from major central banks until at least mid-January, and this comes after the FOMC more dovish than expected rate cut last week. Interestingly, the interest rate cycle for several including the BoJ, the Antipodeans and the Bank of Canada is now shifting with market pricing policy tightening over the coming year. And others like the ECB and SNB are priced to be done with their easing campaigns. Is it too early to move to a different phase and will ‘data dependent’ be the central bankers phrase of 2026?

The not-so hawkish Fed message initially hit the dollar and boosted stock markets, while precious metals like gold and especially silver’s bullish momentum were seen in full effect. But Broadcom’s cloudy guidance raised concerns about shrinking profit margins and uncertainty around its AI-related growth. We note this company just before its results last week was valued just shy of $2 trillion. In addition, Oracle showed slowing revenue and a notable increase in spending. This all added to bubble worries which continue to linger. Rotation which has been seen recently into industrials, materials and financials could broaden and be the bulls best hope of a year-end rally.  

In Brief: Major data releases of the week

Monday, 15 December 2025

China data: Activity is forecast to tick up modestly higher, but many economists still see an uneven and gradual recovery in consumption and manufacturing. Property sector weakness could hasten more stimulus. 

Canada CPI: Headline inflation is forecast to tick one-tenth higher to 2.3% and median core is seen steady at 2.9%. Trade-induced price pressures are likely to be offset by continued economic slack.

Tuesday, 16 December 2025

UK Jobs: Employment change is seen at -60k, unemployment up one-tenth to 5.1% and average earnings (ex-bonus) one-tenth lower at 4.5%. Easing labour market weakness is broadly predicted.

Eurozone PMIS: Services should boost the composite print in the eurozone, with reduced French political noise and progress on the German 2026 budget also helping.

US Non-Farm Payrolls: Consensus expects 50k jobs to be added, below the prior 119k. The unemployment rate is predicted to stick at 4.4%. Wage growth is seen at 0.3% m/m. The government shutdown may mean there is a lot of abnormal noise in the data. The recent Fed meeting cemented expectations of softer figures.

Wednesday, 17 December 2025

UK CPI: Analysts estimate figures in line with the BoE’s latest forecasts. The headline rate is seen at 3.5% from 3.6% and core steady at 3.4% after falling for three straight months. Black Friday discounting should help.

US Retail Sales: Sales are projected to rise 0.2% with the control group at 0.3% m/m. Consumer spending appears to be relatively healthy though Black Friday may have been softer than hoped. 

Thursday, 18 December 2025

Bank of England Meeting: There’s a 90% chance the MPC cuts rates by 25bps to 3.75%. Bailey should have the deciding vote in another tight call. The weak growth outlook and peak inflation help the doves.   

ECB Meeting: The eurozone economy has been broadly resilient in recent weeks. That points to a quiet meeting, with policy still in a ‘good place’. New forecasts are likely to see GDP upgraded and on target inflation.

US CPI: There is no monthly figure due to the government shutdown. Headline is expected at 3.1% and core at 3%. Falling services prices, specifically shelter, is estimated to offset some tariff-related goods inflation, though some economists warn of higher cost inputs. 

Friday, 19 December 2025

BOJ Meeting: The BoJ is widely expected to hike the policy rate by 25bps to 0.75%. Hawkish comments from officials and reduced opposition from the new PM have increased bets on a move. Wage driven inflation is key to the bank’s view on neutral, with another hike not priced in until September 2026. 

Shares CFD Dividend Week Commencing 12 December 2025

Here are the shares CFD dividend that will be paid out from 12 December 2025:

RegionSymbolIssue NameEx-dateAmount per ShareCurrencyTax Rate
USCCICrown Castle Intl Corp15 Dec 20251.063USD30
USCMAComerica Inc15 Dec 20250.710USD30
USDISNEYWALT DISNEY CO/THE15 Dec 20250.750USD30
USDTEDTE Energy Co15 Dec 20251.165USD30
USDVNDevon Energy Corp15 Dec 20250.240USD30
USEMNEastman Chemical Co15 Dec 20250.840USD30
USFDXFedEx Corp15 Dec 20251.450USD30
USGILDGilead Sciences Inc15 Dec 20250.790USD30
USHCAHCA Healthcare Inc15 Dec 20250.720USD30
USMMacy’s Inc15 Dec 20250.182USD30
USMETAMeta Platforms Inc15 Dec 20250.525USD30
USPSAPublic Storage15 Dec 20253.000USD30
EUSTMSTMICROELECTRONICS15 Dec 20250.090USD15
USTMOThermo Fisher Scientific Inc15 Dec 20250.430USD30
USTROWT. Rowe Price Group Inc15 Dec 20251.270USD30
USAIGAmerican International Group16 Dec 20250.450USD30
USAPHAmphenol Corp – Class A16 Dec 20250.250USD30
USBBYBest Buy Co Inc16 Dec 20250.950USD30
USECLEcolab Inc16 Dec 20250.730USD30
USICEIntercontinental Exchange Inc / ICE16 Dec 20250.480USD30
USPLDPrologis Inc16 Dec 20251.010USD30
EUTEFTelefonica S.A16 Dec 20250.150EUR19
HKBANKCOMMHKEx-3328-BANKCOMM17 Dec 20250.156CNY10
USCRMSALESFORCE.COM INC18 Dec 20250.416USD30
USHBANHuntington Bancshares Inc18 Dec 20250.155USD30
UKHLMAHalma PLC18 Dec 20250.096GBP0
UKUUUnited Utilities Group PLC18 Dec 20250.179GBP0
EUSWSodexo SA19 Dec 20252.700EUR15
USHPEHewlett Packard Enterprise Co / HPE19 Dec 20250.143USD30
USOMCOmnicom Group19 Dec 20250.800USD30
USPCARPACCAR Inc19 Dec 20251.400USD30